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Earthquake and Failure Forecasting in Real Time from controlled laboratory test to volcanoes and earthquakes

EFFORT: Earthquake and Failure Forecasting in Real Time Forecasting Model Testing Centre

Presentation Type: 

PICO presentation:
Across Europe there are a large number of rock deformation laboratories, each which runs many experiments. Similarly
there are a large number of theoretical rock physicists who develop constitutive and computational models
both for rock deformation and changes in geophysical properties. Here we consider how to open up opportunities
for sharing experimental data in a way that is integrated with multiple hypothesis testing. We present a prototype

Date and time: 
Monday, 8 April, 2013 - 10:00
Research topics: 

Forecasting volcanic eruptions

NeSC Research Seminar Series
Andrew Bell

Unlike earthquakes, most volcanic eruptions are preceded by clear episodes of unrest. These precursory signals are the main basis for forecasting eruptive activity, yet the quality of such forecasts are unknown. I will describe physical and empirical models for eruption forecasting and our efforts to quantify their performance. This work includes a project to test models in real-time, using data from multiple experimental facilities and volcano observatories.

Date and time: 
Friday, 7 December, 2012 - 10:00
45 minutes
Research topics: 

EFFORT: Earthquake and Failure Forecasting in Real Time from controlled laboratory test to volcanoes and earthquakes

EFFORT EFFORT logo is a UK NERC funded research project running from January 2011 to January 2014. It is a multi-disciplinary collaboration between geoscientists (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh), rock physicists (Department of Earth Sciences, UCL), and informaticians (School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh).

Funding body: 
Sat, 01/01/2011 to Wed, 01/01/2014
Project members: 
Research topics: 

Earth Sciences, University College London

The Department of Earth Sciences at UCL lies in the heart of London on the Bloomsbury campus. Our research spans a diverse range of activities including: crustal processes, Earth and planetary evolution, mineral physics, palaeobiology and palaeoclimatology, polar observation and modelling, natural hazards, environmental geochemistry and sedimentology.


School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh

In the School of GeoSciences we explore the factors and forces that shape our world and environments in which we live. As a leading interdisciplinary group, we aim to understand the interaction between the Earth's Geology, atmosphere, oceans, biosphere and human responses and roles in this complex interplay. With over 100 academic and research specialists and some of the best scientific infrastructure in the UK, we deliver new insights into the dynamics of the Earth System and its relationship with society. We have over 1100 undergraduate and 250 postgraduate students.



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